Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.467081 0.546384 0.635437 0.742934 0.869307 1.013313 1.190097
2024-12-15 0.352827 0.458988 0.591793 0.770558 1.005607 1.305110 1.717317
2024-12-22 0.285101 0.398776 0.551883 0.774043 1.089708 1.524480 2.172831
2024-12-29 0.243461 0.361128 0.529401 0.788985 1.182008 1.759087 2.678646
2025-01-05 0.205199 0.319973 0.492718 0.773542 1.222566 1.919258 3.095031
2025-01-12 0.177439 0.289260 0.465397 0.765473 1.269329 2.090839 3.551027
2025-01-19 0.157740 0.267783 0.448477 0.769820 1.334183 2.297359 4.093408
2025-01-26 0.147769 0.260602 0.453272 0.810092 1.464001 2.629462 4.904234
2025-02-02 0.138543 0.253159 0.456146 0.846601 1.591259 2.973653 5.790486
2025-02-09 0.128718 0.243120 0.452754 0.870568 1.697785 3.293432 6.679517
2025-02-16 0.118179 0.230232 0.442217 0.879030 1.774841 3.566347 7.516777
2025-02-23 0.107428 0.215459 0.426055 0.873849 1.823201 3.787769 8.280404
2025-03-02 0.096015 0.198165 0.403277 0.853161 1.838862 3.949016 8.952609
2025-03-09 0.091051 0.193481 0.405449 0.885349 1.972835 4.383263 10.315750
2025-03-16 0.084074 0.183582 0.395387 0.889369 2.044698 4.690579 11.435169
2025-03-23 0.078956 0.177026 0.391566 0.906616 2.148963 5.086556 12.836970
2025-03-30 0.071726 0.164808 0.373677 0.888791 2.167518 5.282703 13.770599
2025-04-06 0.065897 0.155068 0.360178 0.879477 2.205316 5.530997 14.883259
2025-04-13 0.061598 0.148393 0.352965 0.884494 2.279751 5.882220 16.335395
2025-04-20 0.060159 0.148442 0.361776 0.930980 2.468305 6.557325 18.811738
2025-04-27 0.058486 0.147699 0.368540 0.973131 2.651814 7.247747 21.461754
2025-05-04 0.056120 0.144895 0.369780 1.000806 2.799997 7.864600 24.010234
2025-05-11 0.053045 0.139871 0.364702 1.010579 2.899383 8.359413 26.278979